Round 18 Finals Equations

Following is my understand of all the finals equations for Rd 18

Happy for any feedback if I have stuffed up anywhere.

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EAGLES (14-3 55.58%) v Central @ Maughan Thiem Hyundai Oval, Woodville

Secured Minor Premiership for 3rd straight year,
Next Final : Second Semi v Winner of Port v Sturt. Sun Sept 10 time TBA


PORT (12-5 59.83%) v North @ Prospect Oval

Secured Double Chance, Can finish minor round 2nd or 3rd
Next Final : Qualifying Final v Sturt, 3.10pm Sat Sept 3


STURT (12-5 55.14%) v Norwood @ Coopers Stadium, Norwood

Secured Double Chance, Can finish minor round 2nd or 3rd
Next Final : Qualifying Final v Port, 3.10pm Sat Sept 3


NORWOOD (10-7 50.89%) v Sturt @ Coopers Stadium, Norwood

Secured 4th position
Next Final : Elimination Final v Glenelg/Central/South/Adelaide 12.10pm Sat Sept 3
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GLENELG (8-9 47.26%) v West @ City Mazda Stadium

Can finish anywhere from 5th to 7th
Currently has inferior percentage to Central (3.28% less) & South (0.90% less)
To Play Finals need to
EITHER : Defeat / draw with West Adelaide
OR Central lose/draw to Eagles AND South v Adelaide is a draw.
OR Central lose/draw to Eagles AND South lose to Adelaide AND retain current superior % to Adelaide (current 0.28%)

CENTRAL (7-10 50.54%) v Eagles @ Maughan Thiem Hyundai Oval, Woodville

Can finish anywhere from 5th to 7th
To Play Finals need to
: Defeat Eagles AND West defeat Glenelg

SOUTH (7-10 48.16%) v Adelaide @ Hickinbotham Oval, Noarlunga

Rd 18 Match : Sat Aug 26 2.10pm v Eagles at Maughan West at City Mazda Stadium
Can finish anywhere from 5th to 8th
Currently has inferior percentage to Central (2.38% less)
To Play Finals need to
: Defeat Adelaide AND Eagles defeat Central AND West defeat Glenelg

ADELAIDE (7-10 46.98%) v South @ Hickinbotham Oval, Noarlunga

Can finish anywhere from 5th to 8th
Currently has inferior percentage to Central (3.46% less) & Glenelg (0.28%)
To Play Finals need to
: Defeat South AND Eagles defeat Central AND West defeat Glenelg AND make up 0.28%* gap on Glenelg

*What does 0.28% gap look like?

Currently scores stand
GLENELG + 1293 - 1443 Net points - 150 47.26%
ADELAIDE + 1277 - 1441 Net points —164 46.98%

If Glenelg lose by 8 points (Say 70-78)
and Adelaide win by 8 points (say 78-70)
Percentage would be
Adelaide 47.278%
Glenelg 47.261%

I could be wrong but I thought the margin was not relevant for SANFL %. I thought it was more about goals scored and against.

Yes that is why I put in a score in my example.

Great work, thanks Phil.

Also, to avoid the wooden spoon, West need to beat Glenelg and North lose to Port;
or West lose to Glenelg narrowly and Port beat North by about 90 goals.