Jockey Challenges

Sunshine Coast
AOJ @ $7
Glen Killen @ $19

Okie dokie - that's it - good luck again FS

boss 8 points from the first 3 races at geelong. i'd say that's all over there.

good luck to you too, A Mum

A Mum wrote:Hi FS - good luck

Wagga
John Kissick @ $11 (Omen bet - he's riding Al's Choice in the first)
Brad Clark @ $21
James Geppert @ $26

great start mum - wins on a $40 shot in the first

I know I was like

I sent a message to the JC gods about Boss
It must have paid off - missing on a very short favourite in the last race

FormStudent wrote:I'll play today also Mum, but not geelong - think boss has that one sewn up

Grafton: Whiteley $13
Dolendo: $21

Wagga: Ward $10

S. Coast: Browne $9
Hellyer $10
Wilkinson $21

Good luck all

run the quinella in the first race

lol - that's always a nice thing

Points all round..lol

Bad day at the JC office...lol.

Worse for you I imagine FS - missing out by half a point is excruciating.

Okay so you're not going to beleive this !!

Today I did a JC - first time I've had all week to breathe - lol
But didn't have time to sit and stop and post in here.

So don't kill me for 'after the fact' ...lol.

But look what I just got

21/06/2012
10:57 Jockey Challenge - Quirindi – Alison Threadwell @ 41.00

I am ecstatic to say the least

Any chance of a loan, A Mum?

I'm a bit short again this week and you seem to have a regular income from this

A loan absolutely
You get lucky sometimes...lol

Backing up again today for any JCers who might want to join me

Okay here goes - a repeat of yesterday please - not that I'm greedy or anything

Gone very 'wide' here.
So really just for interest given there's 3 very short in the market.

Geelong
AOJ @ $26
Michael Walker @ $31
Dale Smith @ $101

Gosford
AOJ @ $10
Nathan Berry @ $26
Grant Buckley @ $31

I’m in also Mum.

Geelong at the moment thinking strongly about Oliver& Mott see what price I can get.

Throw in Walker.

Good morning FS

Canberra
AOJ @ $10
Kayla Nisbet @ $16
Matthew Cahill @ $18

Ipswich
Scott Galloway @ $15
Priscilla Schmidt @ $26



Good luck FS - (and BA and Brodlach if you're out there)

Canberra: King $18 (really like this one)
Avdulla $26
Sweeney $7

Gosford: AOJ $11.50
Nathan Berry $31 (have had a really big go at this one)
Buckley $31

Ipswich: AOJ $5.50
Hellyer $12
Hurdle $8
Schmidt $19 (seems overs)

Good luck all

We've got a few there the same FS - fingers are crossed for a succesful day

Gday all im on avdulla @ $21 at canberra
needs to win the first and is fav

Hi BA - Good luck

I agonised over Avdulla - so he will probably win

A Mum wrote:Hi BA - Good luck

I agonised over Avdulla - so he will probably win

Cheers mum and goodluck to you and FS as well
Looks like ward is HOME at canberra anyway

Good luck everyone.

One question, though.

Why do you back those whose odds seem 'overs'?

Is someone who probably won't win a better value loser if they're 'overs'?

Speaking for myself R&B and just my perception over the past 12 months - I think overs pay more often than not than favourites.

I don't mind losing if I take someone at odds - but I'd be mighty upset if I took someone paying say $1-40 and they lost..lol.

Take yesterday for example - winning on a $41 shot - would take a lot of 'favourites' to make up that kind of win.

But that's just me

I look for overs R&B they wont win alot but if the bet is" a value bet " you hopefully will come out in front in the long run or maybe not too far behind
my bet today on advulla was at $21 with with unibet just before the first race, other betting agencies had him between $10 and $12 , the reason being he was on the fav and it had tightened in the market , unibet were slow so I took the $21 on what was probably a 15 to 1 chance
Ward the market fav will win today but if im winning 1 out of 15 at $21 to 1 Im happy
Hope that makes some sense

Thanks, yes, I understand the 'value' aspect, but I suppose my point is that a 15/1 shot has about a 1 in 16 (?) chance of winning. That is, it's a roughie.

If it's at 20/1, it's still a roughie and I think it's a false measure to place a bet on that reasoning.

I can see a small value in a short priced horse being 'overs', but its chances are the same whatever the price.